A new unscented Kalman filter with higher order moment-matching

نویسندگان

  • KSENIA PONOMAREVA
  • PARESH DATE
  • ZIDONG WANG
چکیده

This paper is concerned with filtering nonlinear multivariate time series. A new approximate Bayesian algorithm is proposed which generates sample points and corresponding probability weights that match exactly the predicted values of average marginal skewness and average marginal kurtosis of the unobserved state variables, in addition to matching their mean and the covariance matrix. The performance of the algorithm is illustrated by an empirical example of yield curve modelling with real financial market data. Results show an improvement in accuracy in comparison with extended Kalman filter (EKF) and traditional unscented Kalman filter (UKF).

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تاریخ انتشار 2010